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Dollar Holds at 104.50 as Iran Tensions and CPI Create Two-Front Risk

6/14/2026

The US dollar ($FIAT) held near the 104.50 level on the dollar index Tuesday, pinned in a narrow band as US-Iran geopolitical friction stoked safe-haven demand and traders refused to take large directional positions ahead of Wednesday's Consumer Price Index release.

The greenback is caught between two catalysts: a Middle East standoff that lifts it on fear, and an inflation print that could cut it if the Fed's rate path softens.

Geopolitics Provide a Floor, Not Momentum Heightened rhetoric and reported military posturing between Washington and Tehran pushed investors toward traditional safe havens — the dollar and gold among them.

That bid is real but limited in duration.

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