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OpenAI IPO Odds: Kalshi Traders Put Best Chance on Early 2027

6/26/2026

OpenAI's initial public offering is reportedly being pushed back, and prediction-market traders on Kalshi are already pricing in the delay.

Speculators now put only one-in-three odds on the company going public in 2026, while assigning a high likelihood the listing gets done by June 2027.

What the Kalshi Market Is Saying Kalshi, which lets traders bet on real-world outcomes, has become a live gauge of IPO timing sentiment.

The current contract pricing implies roughly a one-in-three probability that OpenAI announces its offering this calendar year.

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