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Prediction markets flag Coinbase trading miss as Q2 earnings approach

7/21/2026

Prediction markets are pricing in a shortfall for Coinbase Global (COIN) ahead of the company's second-quarter earnings report, with speculators betting the exchange will show a third consecutive quarterly decline in trading volume.

The signal puts COIN on the watch list before results, and the gap between where prediction markets have positioned and where the actual number lands will set the tone for the first session after the print.

What prediction markets are signaling The origin of this signal matters.

Prediction markets aggregate speculator positions on specific real-world outcomes, which makes them a different kind of read than a sell-side model or an official guidance update.

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