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Kalshi traders see September CPI at 3.6% as 2026 inflation peaks

10/12/2026

Traders on the prediction market platform Kalshi anticipate the September consumer price index will show a 3.6% increase year over year, a figure that aligns with the FactSet consensus estimate.

This projection marks a rise from the 3.4% advance recorded in August, suggesting that while inflation may have reached its peak for the year, prices are not expected to fall sharply in the near term.

The September CPI report is scheduled for release on Wednesday at 8:30 a.m.

Kalshi contracts, which are resolved using official data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, currently assign just under one-in-three odds to inflation hitting new highs in 2026.

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